标签存档： 英国论文代写

英国论文代写:英国遇险报警求助电话是多少

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英国论文代写:英国遇险报警求助电话是多少

出国留学安全永远是第一位，在国内遇险首先想到的是求助于警察，在英国也不例外，但是关于英国关于各种求助电话都了解吗？高阶英国论文代写网的小编为同学们普及一下。

1、英国紧急报警电话999

国内报警、急救、火警多个紧急报警电话共存的状况不同，英国官方的紧急报警电话只有一个：999。

除了前面提到的3种情况外，999还能接通海岸警卫队的应急控制中心(ECC)，拨入后接线员将会询问你属于哪种紧急状况。

除此之外，救生船服务、悬崖救援、山地救援、洞穴救援、矿井救援、荒野或流沙搜救、拆弹工作等等也可以通过999联系，但不像以上4类主要项目一样拥有永久性应急控制中心。

总而言之，根据英国警方官网解释，“紧急”状况包括正在进行中的犯罪行为、附近疑似有犯罪行为发生、生命垂危、存在暴力行为或威胁等。

2、国际紧急求救电话112

112是全球通用的国际紧急求救电话，在英国拨通后自动转接至999，并且求助服务范围也与上面介绍的一致。

英国手机与座机拨打112均可免费接通，全球各地手机也都可以免费拨打，但部分国家座机无法接通。

也就是说，你在欧洲、美国等地旅游时也可以拨打112求助。

另外，有经验人士提醒：在条件允许情况下，999或112均尽量用座机拨打，对于紧急救援方而言比手机更方便追踪定位。

在中国，112曾经是市话故障报修功能，现在除此功能外，也可以紧急报警。

3、英国非紧急报警电话101

根据英国警方官网解释，在遇到犯罪行为但不需要获取紧急处理(例如车辆被盗、怀疑身边有人贩毒等)状况下应当拨打101与当地警方取得联系，避免占用999紧急报警通道。

此外，即使仅仅是向警方询问普通事宜也可以拨打101。

不过，与999和112的完全免费不同，拨打101将收取每通电话15p的固定资费。

4、英国非紧急医疗求助111

111是由英国国家医疗服务体系(National Health Service，也就是大家口中常提到的NHS)直接管理和运行的非紧急医疗求助电话，在需要紧急医疗建议、但发病状况并不立刻危及性命的状况下使用。

111不是报警电话，而是专门的医疗求助电话。

根据NHS官网介绍，该热线24小时提供免费服务，通话后接线员会在职业医师的指导下询问包括症状在内的一系列问题，然后立刻为患者转接或引导至合适的GP。

上面4个电话就是英国本地小伙伴人人牢记在心的报警或求助电话。

不过，在目前的国际治安环境下，对于在英学习生活的中国人而言，以下3个电话也是相当重要的。

5、英国反恐热线0800789321

根据英国政府网GOV.UK介绍，反恐热线接收的信息由英国军情五处(MI5)搜集处理。

使用该号码时选择匿名或提供详细联系方式都可以，消息内容也将获得无条件保密处理。

MI5官方网站提醒：该热线仅限提供与英国国家安全相关信息，其他案件请拨打999或101。

6、中国外交部全球领保与服务应急呼叫中心电话+86-10-12308或+86-10-59913991

首先需要明确一点：什么是领事保护?

根据中国领事服务网介绍，领事保护是指中国政府和中国驻外外交、领事机构维护海外中国公民和机构安全及正当权益的工作。

注意这里的“海外中国公民”也包括中国港澳台三地同胞!

12308是外交部全球领事保护与服务应急呼叫中心于2014年9月启用的热线，59913991则是备用长号码。

国外拨打需要加拨008610，国内非北京地区则需加拨010。

如果是紧急情况，拨通后可按0再按9直接进入人工服务。

以上内容由高阶英国论文代写网整理提供。

 

英国罗切斯特论文代写:电子废物

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英国罗切斯特论文代写:电子废物

该项目的结果是基于调查问卷和小组讨论的建议。此外，仔细分析研究出版物和电子废物管理的研究已进行。从调查问卷的结果显示，电子废物的出货量可以分为法律、执法、经济问题和纽约州处理的法律意识。一方面，存在一个需求缺口，这表明有二手产品或产品的需求不断增长的报废回收或废物回收（CEA，2009）。另一方面，不同的环境可持续性标准和卫生效果的废物处理结果的电子废物出口的地方，成本较低的密集型。
有必要确保对电子废物管制的现行立法意识到消费者对电子废物处置禁令的有效实施。
本节探讨的各种电子设备的使用和他们的贡献显着增加的电子废物的增长。
移动电话市场显示了越来越多的替代率导致大量的相同的进入全球废物流的国家。虽然城市市场已达到饱和，但有观察到，在农村地区使用手机的持续增长。各种研究的出版物表明，电子垃圾所产生的频繁更换手机主要集中在诺基亚获得了54%的市场份额，剩下的部分是由其他演员即摩托罗拉占占领市场的一小部分，三星和其他品牌（马休斯，2003）。
虽然最近的技术进步表明，台式机销售放缓，个别买家之间，有一个持续的期望增加销售驱动的专业人士为公务用途。更换旧型号的个人电脑与笔记本电脑，笔记本电脑和新型号的个人电脑表明越来越多的处置。
同样的情况下观察到的电视。然而，也有观察到，电视产业的持续强劲增长，这些电子设备在他们的生命结束时，要么被关闭或收集回收的材料回收。

英国罗切斯特论文代写:电子废物

The results of this project are based on a survey questionnaire and the recommendations of group discussions. In addition, a careful analysis of research publications and studies on management of e-waste has been undertaken. As the results from survey questionnaire shows that e-waste shipments can be classified into legal, enforcement, economic issues and awareness of the NYS disposal laws. On one hand, there exists a demand gap which suggests that there is an increasing demand for second hand products or the products coming to an end-of-life for recycling or for waste recovery(CEA, 2009). On the other hand, different standards for sustainability of environment and for health effects from disposal of waste results in export of electronic waste to places which are less cost intensive.
There is a need to ensure awareness of the existing legislation regarding regulation of e-waste to the consumers for effective implementation of the disposal ban on e-waste.
This section examines the growth in the usage of various electronic equipments and their contribution to the significant increase in the e-waste.
The market for mobile phones shows an increasing replacement rate in the countries causing the large quantities of the same to enter into the global waste stream. Although the urban market has reached saturation, it is observed that there is a continuing growth in the usage of mobile phones in rural areas. Various research publications show that e-waste stemming from frequently changing mobile phones is concentrated in a small section of the market captured by Nokia acquiring 54% of the market share and the remaining percentage is accounted by other actors namely Motorola, Samsung and other brands (Matthews, 2003).
Although the recent technological advancements show that sale of desktops has slowed among the individual buyers, there is a continuing expectation of increasing sales being driven by professionals for official purposes. The replacement of older models of PCs with laptops, notebooks and newer models of PCs indicate the increasing disposal of the computers.
The same is observed in case of televisions. However, it is also observed that there is strong and continual growth of the television industry.These electronic equipments at the end of their life are either disposed-off or are collected to be recycled for recovery of materials.

英国论文代写：乐购的外部环境因素

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英国论文代写：乐购的外部环境因素

PESTLE框架识别动态和不可预知的外部，乐购的外部环境因素：
政治：乐购的商业活动受到一个国家政治环境的强烈影响。政治因素，如外商直接投资政策和补贴的因素，必须正确理解公司在开始其在中国业务（Humby et al.，2008）。除此之外，促进西欧和东欧之间的贸易正在证明一个平台，特易购扩大其零售网络在欧盟（欧盟）。
经济：一个国家的经济发展直接影响着公司的盈利和销售。经济因素决定了顾客的购买行为，直接影响公司的销售收入和增长（Humby et al.，2008）。由于全球金融危机的影响，英国经济的衰退导致公司的财务增长因销售下滑而显著损失。然而，英国经济衰退后的发展正为乐购改善其在英国市场的业务销售提供了机会。
社会因素：年龄分布、消费习惯等社会因素对Tesco绩效有显著影响。在英国的人口的年龄分布是不均匀的影响公司的增长和盈利（Humby et al.，2008）。年轻一代正在下降，英国人口中有大量的老年人。与年轻一代相比，老龄化人口不太可能去超市购物，这导致英国零售市场的销售额下降。
技术因素：技术因素直接影响食品杂货零售商的价值链和运作过程。食品零售商的经营受到互联网的影响，从而增加了公司的销售额。开展公司网站乐购网上购物增加了销售收入的增长和乐购（Humby et al.，2008）。因此，网上零售购物是食品零售业的主要革命之一，它影响了英国市场上大量零售商的经营业绩。

英国论文代写：乐购的外部环境因素

PESTLE framework identifies the dynamic and unpredictable external environmental factors that impact the Tesco performance:
Political: The business operations of Tesco are strongly impacted by the political environment of a country. Political factors such as foreign direct investment policies and subsidy factors must be properly understood by the company before starting its business operations in a country (Humby et al., 2008). In addition to this, promotion of trade between Western and Eastern European is proving a platform to Tesco for expanding its retail network in the European Union (EU).
Economic: Economic development of a country has a direct impact on the profitability and sales of the company. Economic factors determine the buying behaviour of the customers and that directly impact the sales and growth of the company (Humby et al., 2008). The recession of the UK economy due to global financial crisis leads to significant loss in the financial growth of the company due to its declining sales. However, economic development in the UK after recession is proving opportunity to Tesco for improving its business sales in the UK market.
Social: Social factors such as age distribution and consumer eating habits have strong impact on the Tesco performance. Uneven age distribution in the UK population is impacting the growth and profitability of the company (Humby et al., 2008). Younger generation is declining and there is large number of old people in the UK population. The aging population is less likely to travel to supermarkets as compared to the young generation and this result in decline on the sales of the company in UK retail market.
Technological: Technological factors directly influence the value chain and operational process of the grocery food retailer in major way. The operation of food retailers is affected by the use of internet that results in increasing the sales of the company. The launching of company website by Tesco for online shopping has resulted in increasing the sales and revenue growth of Tesco (Humby et al., 2008). Thus, online retail shopping is one of the major revolutions in food retailing sector that influences the business performance of large number of retailers in the UK market.

英国论文代写：固定成本

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英国论文代写：固定成本

直接影响餐厅购买决定的固定成本变量可以是建筑物的租金，物业税，员工薪金，折旧和公用事业费用（Alvis，n.d.）。这些是重要的固定成本，随着产出量的变化不会发生波动。这些固定成本有可能在一段时间内不会永久固定;他们可能随着某个时期的生产数量而改变。
在这些变数中，如果考虑租金，那么随着餐厅销售额的增加和减少，对建筑物的租金没有影响;它将保持不变，业主必须支付。如果没有工作人员的努力和贡献，企业就永远无法成功，所以业主必须要把雇主的雇员像管理人员那样以有效的方式经营餐馆，而不用赚钱。
折旧也是固定成本，随着时间的推移资产价值下降。可能贬值的资产是家具，办公设备，建筑物等。在购买餐厅时，考虑到建筑物和其他资产在折旧方面的条件是非常重要的。由于业务已经亏损，业主无法承担新型家具和其他对于经营炉灶，洗碗机，烤架等业务重要的设备的费用。
公用事业费用也是固定的，每个月都必须支付煤气，电力等票据，无论利润如何。虽然帐单可能会根据季节而有所不同，但由于这笔费用是强制性的，所以费用固定成本。业主还必须支付财产费用的财产税。其价值也是固定的，义务性的支付。

英国论文代写：固定成本

Fixed cost variables that would directly affect the purchase decision of restaurant can be rent of the building, Property tax, Employee Salaries, Depreciation and utilities cost (Alvis, n.d.). These are important fixed costs that do no fluctuate with the changes in the quantity of output. It is possible that these fixed costs may not remain fixing on the permanent basis over a period of time; they may change with the production quantity for some relevant period.
Among these variables if we consider rent, then with the increase and decrease of the sales in a restaurant, it will have no effect on the rent of that building; it will remain same and the owners must have to pay it. A business can never run successfully without the efforts and contribution of workers, so the owners must have to pay the wages of the hired employees like managers to run a restaurant in an effective manner, no matter they are earning profits or not.
Depreciation is also a fixed cost, as the value of assets decrease with the passage of time. The assets that may depreciate are furniture, office equipment, building etc. While purchasing a restaurant, it is very important to consider that what the condition of building and other assets in terms of depreciation is. As the business is already in loss and owners are not in a position to incur expenses on new furniture and other equipment that is important for running a business like stoves, dishwashers, grills.
Utilities cost are also fixed in a manner that it is mandatory to pay the bills of gas, electricity etc. every month irrespective of the profits. Although the bills may vary according to season but it comes under fixed cost because this expense is obligatory. The owner must also have to pay a property tax that is a charge on property. Its value is also fixed and compulsory to pay.

英国黑斯汀论文代写：债权风险

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英国黑斯汀论文代写：债权风险

之后，它是假设在报纸上看到一个与时间的变化可能对真正的风险以及表面上的数量，更不用说代理商一过早宣布不可能的选择以及说明这些组件面积单位有足够的数量，使一种假设的概率的破坏而相应的方差风险溢价的时刻下的金融体系，公平保费，并率是无风险的。为了留住这短暂的概率元债券的风险溢价，我们都倾向于相信先行方差风险溢价或夹在风险中性的区别以及变异的机会来的目的（Geert，2007）。以前的工作轨迹，我们有一种倾向，替代机会无偏期望方差的青睐的指标，也可以定义为推广或销售恐惧的措施（惠利，2000）。通过高架快速introed知识期货标准普尔五百的手段，不同的实现可以采用方差自回归模型（HAR-RV模型，见科西，2009），是比以前更大的隐性变化滞后（Drechsler和亚龙，2011）为了计算方差风险概率的目标（Baele，Geert，2010）。
计算出的平均方差风险溢价为十六，计算的基础上的百分比平方的22，罚款内每天不同的最新的计算是基于经验。这是明显指出，时间序列方差风险溢价永远保持积极的态度，总结到一个正常的竞争者具有成本效益的不确定性或随机风险厌恶生活（Corsi，罗伯托，2010）。当误治，以方差预测链路过载的风险溢价收益，我们发现，在持续两到六个月的时间在一到五个月的投资时间的短期国库券的风险溢价的变化，单位面积计算的系数在统计上是很重要的（Geert，2007）。通过计算风险溢价方差与提前率的回归将增加一个月的持续时间的因素分享实例。延长投资期限，风险溢价上升至二十。

英国黑斯汀论文代写：债权风险

After that it is hypothesize in the paper that a financial system with the variation in time improbability risk regarding genuine as well as ostensible quantity let alone the choice of agents for a premature declaration of improbability as well as it demonstrate that these components area unit are sufficient to the quantity for make a case for the destruction of the probability of the assumption whereas corresponding the moments of the variance risk premium, the impartiality premium, and rate that is riskless. In order to detain this short-term improbability element of bond risk premia, we have a tendency to trust the advance variance risk premium or the distinction sandwiched between risk-neutral as well as purpose of opportunity of the come variant (Geert, 2007). Following the trail of previous work, we have a tendency to substitute the chance unbiased expected variance by the favored index, that can also be defined as the promotion or sell the measure of apprehension (Whaley, 2000). By means of elevated promptness introed knowledge of futures on the S&P five hundred, a diverse autoregressive model of realised variance can be employed (HAR-RV model, see Corsi, 2009) that is greater than before by lag of tacit changes (Drechsler and Yaron, 2011) in order to calculate the target probability of variance risk (Baele, Geert, 2010).
The calculated average variance risk premium is sixteen that is calculated on the basis of percentage squared of 22, fine inside the everyday vary of up to date calculation that is empirical based. It is significantly noted that the time-series of variance risk premium forever always stay positive, that sums up to a normal contender live for cost-effective uncertainty or maybe random risk repugnance (Corsi, Roberto, 2010). When mistreatment is done, the risk premium of the variance in order to predict link overload proceeds, we discover that for the duration of two to six months the short term Treasury bills with the duration of one to five month investment time, the calculable coefficients for the risk premium variance area unit is quite vital in terms of statistics (Geert, 2007). By the calculation of the risk premium variance to a regression with advance rates will increase the factor for the duration of one month sharing the amount for instance. For extended investment duration, the rise in the risk premium reduces to twenty.

英国论文代写：建筑史

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英国论文代写：建筑史

当被重新创造的位置的图片产生一个不同的感觉相同的位置，对这种感觉是完全不同的前一个重大抗议活动的知识。如果一个位置如此心爱与一个事件，如6月4日的斗争，它可能有深刻的影响，人们的理解的建筑和设计的位置或空间。城市化的历史一直被称为城市由于人们进步的妄想和每个小的进步确定城市发展。一个城市的人去查看事件会有不同的感受和看法相比，一个人的世界是事件的一部分。两者的看法是不同的，这是从建筑遗存提取和设计的位置。这方面的主要原因是有限的知识，未来的建筑和设计能力的预测，这限制了城市化的思考，以目前为最终。历史建筑有助于我们塑造我们对犯罪事件的思考，不时的设计限制，不时的空间限制，和今天的设计师和早期适应的思维能力。建筑的历史使犯罪现场看起来不同，因为随着公共场所设计的发展，犯罪分子的发展也有了相应的发展，以更好的手段来应对限制犯罪的强化措施。天安门广场事件给人的感觉是一个内在的依恋的位置，这意味着一个当想到的位置，但不能不考虑事件以及。这种固有的依恋发生在事件被深深地刻在了整个建筑的整个位置，开放的空间，被呼吸的空气中，这一切都提醒了发生的大屠杀事件。

成百上千的中国年轻人的生活被安置在今天的历史遗址，为数百万游客提供了巨大的和平。

英国论文代写：建筑史

The pictures of the locations when re-created generates a different feeling about the same location, towards which the feeling was completely different before the knowledge of a major protest event. If a location so beloved is associated with an event like the June Fourth struggle, it may have a deep impact on people’s understanding of the architecture and design of the location or space. The urbanism history has always been called as urban because of the delusion of people progressing and terming each small progress as urban development. An urban individual trying to view the event will have different feelings and perceptions as compared to an individual who wold have been part of the event. The perceptions of both are different and that is being extracted from the architectural remains and the design of the location. The prime reason for this is the limited knowledge of future predictions of architecture and design capabilities which has limited the thinking of urbanism to take the present as the ultimate. The historical architecture helps us shape our thinking about crime events, in terms of the design constraints of now and then, the space constraints of now and then, and the thinking capabilities of today’s designers and earlier adaptations. The history of architecture makes the crime scene look different because, with the development of design of public places, there is also a subsequent development in criminals adopting better means to respond to the enhancements measures of restricting crime. The Tiananmen Square event gives a feeling of the event as an intrinsic attachment to the location, meaning that one when thinking about the location cannot help but think about the event as well. This sort of an inherent attachment occurs when the event is so deeply carved in the location that the entire site with all its building, open space, the air that is breathed there is all a reminder of the massacre event that took place. The lives of hundreds or thousands of young Chinese had been taken and laid down at the location which today is a historical site and offers great peace to millions of visitors.

 

英国奇彻斯特大学论文代写：管理

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英国奇彻斯特大学论文代写：管理

公司治理不分好坏。组织没有好坏管理。它有一个有效的和非有效的管理。因此，公司治理结构有助于保持一种伦理文化在员工和法杖使公司可以在一个系统的方式工作。它不允许管理人员和其他利益相关者使用不道德的方法，为公司的成功。他们总是忠于自己的客户，不给他们提供虚假的指引。公司治理维持欺诈和无腐败环境。工人遵守公司的诚信，保持其职业道德和敬业精神。

伦理和有效运作

公司治理协助公司维持道德和有效运作。它通常由正直的人来表演。而效率是由那些致力于致力于义务。这两种素质都存在于员工中。公司治理有规则和准则，员工遵循。然而，这些规则和程序是灵活的，可以改变不同的情况和时间。他们总是忠于自己的客户，不给他们提供虚假的指引。公司治理维持欺诈和无腐败环境。工人遵守公司的诚信，保持其职业道德和敬业精神。有没有这样的准则，在私营部门，因此公司治理协助公司在维护道德和高效运转（迪格纳穆和洛瑞，2006）。

社会利益和利益相关者

公司治理确保组织的伦理功能，企业可以实现维护所有的公共政策和道德标准，所有的政府法律的使命和有效。这将导致一个系统的增长和发展的公司，而所有的利益相关者将获得好处（太阳和威廉，2009）。公司治理对社会和组织本身都有很大的影响。通过企业社会责任活动，所有的股权持有人都受益于公司。它维持了社会受到极大影响的道德标准。公司治理有助于为公司全体员工提供必要的福利。

英国奇彻斯特大学论文代写：管理

Corporate governance is not distinguished as bad or good. An organization does not have a good or bad administration. It has an effective and non-effective administration. Thus corporate governance helps to maintain an ethical culture among the employees and staves so that the firm can work in a systematic way. It does not allow the managers and other stakeholders to use unethical methods for the success of the company. They are always true to their customers and do not provide them with false guidelines. Corporate governance maintains a fraud and corruption free environment. The workers follow the integrity of the company and maintain its ethics and works with complete devotion.

Ethical and Efficient functioning

Corporate governance assists a firm in maintaining an ethical and efficient functioning. It is generally performed by the people with integrity. While efficiency is performed by those who are devoted and committed to duty. Both of the qualities are present in an employee. Corporate governance has rules and guidelines which an employee’s follows. However those rules and procedures are flexible and can change with different situations and times. They are always true to their customers and do not provide them with false guidelines. Corporate governance maintains a fraud and corruption free environment. The workers follow the integrity of the company and maintain its ethics and works with complete devotion. There are no such guidelines in private sectors and thus corporate governance assists a firm in maintaining an ethical and efficient functioning (Dignam & Lowry, 2006).

Benefits to society and stakeholders

The corporate governances ensure that the organization is ethical and efficient functioning so that the firm can achieve the mission maintains all the public policy along with the ethical standards and all the government laws. This would result in a systematic growth and development for the company while all the stakeholders would receive the benefits (Sun & William, 2009). Corporate governance has a great impact on the society and the organization itself. Through the CSR activities all the stake holders are benefited by the company equally. It maintains ethical standards by which the society is greatly affected. Corporate governance helps in providing the necessary benefits to all the workers of the company.

英国贝尔法斯特论文代写：异方差模型

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英国贝尔法斯特论文代写：异方差模型

本文试图确定金融时间序列数据的波动性。时间序列数据的波动性经验确定的ARCH / GARCH模型。拱或自回归条件异方差性开发回归残差对滞后最小二乘模型。这意味着，因变量是数据是可预测的时间和独立变量是ARIMA模型的残差的平方在时间t-1。这种模式被称为拱（1）由于一个滞后。这种简化模型也可以扩展到拱（P）P滞后项使用。

本文试图利用ARCH模型预测某一股票的波动性。价格的波动取决于ARIMA模型的误差项。ARCH或它的广义版本称为GARCH是流行的金融时间序列数据的分析，因为他们不使用一个单独的独立变量，但误差项本身，减少了某些问题的回归。当一个单独的解释变量被使用时，它可能会导致错误估计的问题，因为一个是从来没有把握两个变量之间的因果关系的程度。有时，当使用代理解释变量，它甚至导致有偏估计。因此，估计的系数可能不是蓝色（最佳线性无偏估计）。

因此，ARCH估计的金融时间序列的统计分析进一步。此外，ARCH模型的条件预测远远优于他们的无条件同行。ARCH模型的巨大应用来自模型中的残差可以来自自回归模型，ARMA模型或任何其他标准回归模型的事实。

本文尝试应用ARCH / GARCH模型，从1980年1月2日至2013年9月13日的每日IBM股票回报率。

实证框架

本文利用ARMA模型残差的GARCH模型。不同的模型进行比较，使用施瓦茨信息标准（SIC）。

ARMA模型是自回归滑动平均模型。这是AR和MA模型在一个方程的组合。在自回归模型中，自变量是因变量的一个或多个滞后项。

英国贝尔法斯特论文代写：异方差模型

This essay tries to determine the volatility of a financial time series data. The volatility of time series data is empirically determined by the ARCH/GARCH models. ARCH or Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedascticity is a model developed to regress the residuals on their lagged squares. This means that the dependent variable is the data which is to be forecasted at time and the independent variable is the square of the residual of the ARIMA model at time t-1. This model is called ARCH(1) owing to one lag. This simplified model can also be extended to ARCH(p) where p lag terms are used.

This essay tries to implement the use of the ARCH model to forecast volatility of a certain stock. Volatility in the price is determined by the error term of the ARIMA model. ARCH or its generalized version called GARCH are popular in the analysis of financial time series data because they do not use a separate independent variable but the error term itself which reduces certain problems in regression. When a separate explanatory variable is used, it may lead to the problems of wrongful estimation, as one is never sure of the extent of causality between the two variables. Sometimes when a proxy explanatory variable is used, it even leads to biased estimation. The coefficients thus estimated may not be BLUE (Best Linear Unbiased Estimators).

Thus, the ARCH estimation takes statistical analysis of the financial time series a step further. Furthermore, conditional forecasts done in the ARCH model are far superior to their unconditional counterparts. The vast application for an ARCH model comes from the fact that the residuals in the model can come from an autoregressive model, ARMA model or any other standard regression model.

This essay tries to apply the ARCH/GARCH model to the daily IBM stock returns taken from January 2, 1980 to September 13, 2013.

Empirical Framework

The essay intends to use GARCH model using the residuals of an ARMA model. The different models are compared by using Schwarz Information Criteria (SIC).

ARMA model is Autoregressive Moving Average Model. It is a combination of AR and MA models in one equation. In an autoregressive model, the independent variable is one or more lagged terms of the dependent variable.

英国论文代写：讽刺电影

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英国论文代写：讽刺电影

克里斯蒂安·拉恩哲臣的“上线”，谈一谈在美国导演协会的数码节于2003年5月17日在洛杉矶出现了一些不可避免的严厉的面纱背后cyberpun方法。依赖的后果，无论是直接或间接地在吉普森的讽刺手法对技术的主要因素之一。

吉普森的原讽刺对媒体企业的攻击性可以视为散文小说，但它确实是一个虚构的总结非虚构的现实。但作家的感知这个现实不关注眼前，但不久的将来可能因为现在。”在乔尼娱乐系统的不确定选择中，有一个将高表现力和高分辨率的狗头插入所有人物的头部。然而，它不知道约翰尼这样的情况是基于一次公认的爱德华民俗象征的扑克的狗，但是它是好的因为乔尼没有历史教授，如果他需要知道的话，他会通知系统，包括吉普森在讲话近10年。

吉普森的话是对美国现代代相当适用，其中学生知道加、减、乘、除只使用一个字符但是真正的方法是他们不知道如果他们不去了解它，因为根据他们的计算器更准确和更快的比人类的大脑，如果他们需要要知道数学计算的真正方法，计算机会做必要的对他们来说。

彼得·威尔的1998部电影杜鲁门的表演是幼稚或按时间顺序显示，可以称之为不敏感比天真的人按照他们的成瘾性和依赖性，对媒体在何种程度上人们可以放纵为溶于娱乐。

“这是一个事实，电视的发展在现实主义到与整个故事的风险，即风险，其不同于普通的伦理、道德和法律风险”（杰克逊148）。

英国论文代写：讽刺电影

William Gibson’s ‘Up the Line’, a talk delivered at the Directors Guild of America’s Digital Day on 17th May, 2003 at Los Angeles appeared to veil some inevitable harshness behind his cyberpun approach. Consequences of dependency, either directly or indirectly has been one of the primary elements in Gibson’s satirical approach towards technology.

Gibson’s raw satire on the aggressiveness of media ventures may be deemed as prose fiction, but it is indeed a fiction summed up of non-fictionalized reality. But the writer’s percept of this reality does not concern the immediate present but the near future probable because of the present. “Amidst the indefinite choices of Johnny’s entertainment system, there is one which inserts highly expressive and high resolution dog heads in place of all the characters’ head. However, it is not known to Johnny that such a scenario is based on the once well-recognized Edwardian folk symbol of poker playing dogs, but then it is alright as Johnny is no professor of history and in case if he needed to know it, he would have been informed by the system”, included Gibson in his speech almost a decade back.

Gibson’s quote is quite applicable on the modern American generation, wherein students know to add, subtract, multiply and divide only using a character but the real method of is unknown to them as if they do not bother to know it, because according to them a calculator is more accurate and faster than human brain and if they needed to know the real method of mathematical calculations, the calculator would have done the needful for them too.

Peter Weir’s 1998 film The Truman Show ironically displayed the naivety or, chronologically that which may be termed as insensitivity more than naivety of humans in accordance with their addiction and dependence on media and the extent to which people may indulge in order to dissolve in entertainment.

“It is a fact that televisual advancement over realism arrives with an entire storytelling risk, i.e. a risk, which is different from the common ethical, moral and legalistic risk” (Jackson 148).

 

 

英国诺丁汉论文代写：活动组织

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英国诺丁汉论文代写：活动组织

任何事件的健康和安全直接关系到事件的成功程度。所有的活动组织者都必须适当地培训员工，以便培训员工应对各种危机。此外，事件管理必须有一个良好的文件化的培训手册，规定所有特定的健康和安全政策，程序和标准的任何事件。
任何赛事组织者必须采用“风险管理”的模式，以确保安全和安全。在这个过程中，事件的组织者，确定所有可能的风险，可能对事件或任何人参加它的生活的负面影响（Ranjan，Rashmi，et al. 2011）。其次是分类风险高，中，低风险，使最重要的（高）风险首先解决。活动组织者培训员工执行下列程序，以便他们组织的任何活动都是成功的—
食品安全–组织者训练员工保持适当的卫生，烹饪和食物（Waller，Raymond A.，et al. 2003）。
急救和医疗用品-事件组织者必须确保他们招募众所周知的和合格的医生谁可以参加人在需要时。此外，所有的员工都接受培训，使他们知道急救的基本知识，因此可以参加一个需要帮助的人。
清理废物处理是事件结束后必须引起注意的另一个方面。适当的废物处理，确保本地市民不受影响或生病。所有的员工都受过教育和培训。
雇用管家-雇用管家，活动组织者必须进行详细的背景检查的候选人，以确保前者是不相关的任何反政府机构或以任何方式伤害任何人。
火灾风险-事件组织者必须进行火灾风险评估（FRA）。这将有助于他们采取适当的防火措施或实施程序/行动，以减少火灾的影响。此外，消防演习定期进行，以便员工准备负责任何不幸的事件。

英国诺丁汉论文代写：活动组织

Health and safety in any event is directly related to how successful the event would be. All the event organizers must train their staff appropriately so that the staffs are well trained to deal with any kind of crisis. Moreover, the event management must have a well- documented training manual that lays down all the specific health and safety policies, procedures and standards for any event.
Any event organizer must adopt the model of ‘Risk Management’ for ensuring safety and security. In this process, the event organizer identifies all the possible risks that may have a negative impact on the event or life of anyone attending it (Ranjan, Rashmi, et al.2011). This is followed by categorizing the risks into high, medium and low risks so that the most significant (high) risks are addressed first. The event organizers train their employees to carry out the following procedures so that any event they organize is a hit –
Food Safety – The event organizer train its employees to maintain proper hygiene while cooking and serving food (Waller, Raymond A., et al.2003).
First Aid and Medical Provision –The event organizer must ensure that they recruit well known and qualified doctors who could attend people when needed. Moreover, all the employees are trained so that they know the basics of first aid and could therefore attend a person in need.
Clearing Up – Waste disposal is another aspect that must be given attention after the event is over. Proper waste disposal ensures that the local public does not get affected or ill. All the employees are educated and trained in this regard.
Employment of stewards – While employing stewards, the event organizers must conduct a detailed background check of the candidate to ensure that the former is not related to any anti- government agency or in any way harm anyone.
Risk of fire – The event organizer must conduct a Fire Risk Assessment (FRA). This would help them to take appropriate fire precautions or put into place procedures/ actions to reduce the effects of fire. Moreover, fire drills are conducted at regular intervals so that the employees are ready to take charge of any unfortunate incident.